Former Vice President Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia remains in the lead in the latest Global InfoAnalytics poll on the New Patriotic Party’s (NPP) flagbearer race ahead of the 2026 presidential primary — but his support has slipped slightly, while Kennedy Ohene Agyapong continues to gain momentum.
According to the findings, Dr. Bawumia polled 44%, down from 47% in September, while Kennedy Agyapong rose from 17% to 19% within the same period. Dr. Bryan Acheampong followed with 5%, and other potential candidates.
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Speaking on TV3’s The Key Points, Mussa Dankwah, Executive Director of Global InfoAnalytics, explained: “This is the strict question we asked them — who would you vote for to lead the NPP in 2028? The responses show Bawumia at 44%, Kennedy Agyapong at 19%, and Bryan Acheampong at 5%.”
Dankwah noted that while Bawumia’s numbers have slightly declined, Agyapong’s consistent rise signals renewed interest and growing confidence among his base.
Beyond the headline figures, the poll points to a significant and potentially decisive factor — a growing bloc of undecided and undisclosed delegates, together forming roughly 30% of respondents.
Dankwah described this as the crucial bracket in determining the outcome.
“What is interesting here is not just the headline figures, but the growing bracket of undisclosed and undecided voters,” he emphasized. “If a delegate says he is undisclosed, it means he has made up his mind but doesn’t want to tell us. The undecided, on the other hand, are those yet to make up their minds — and they are the ones who ultimately decide elections.”
Dankwah revealed that about 15% of delegates remain undecided, while another 15% are undisclosed — many of whom, based on previous trends, are believed to be Kennedy Agyapong-leaning voters.
The survey suggests that neither Bawumia nor Agyapong currently meets the 50% plus one threshold needed for an outright victory.
“If things remain this way, there will be a runoff,” Dankwah said. “Even if you add those undisclosed delegates who lean toward Kennedy, he still falls short of 50%.”
He added that if all undisclosed voters were to side with Kennedy, his support could climb to 34%, compared to Bawumia’s 45%.
“Kennedy has a lot more work to do to take him over the 50% mark. But at the moment, Bawumia is still in a good position — he only needs about 4% or 5% more to cross the line.”
While Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia still leads the NPP flagbearer race, his narrowing margin and the rising influence of undecided delegates suggest that the race remains far from settled.
As the NPP gears up for its next internal election in January 2026, all eyes will be on how both camps mobilize the floating delegates who could ultimately decide who leads the NPP into 2028.