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Fitch upgrade elevates Ghana’s credit rating to ‘B’ with positive outlook

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Fitch Ratings has delivered a major vote of confidence in Ghana’s economic recovery by raising the country’s Long-Term Foreign-Currency Issuer Default Rating from ‘B-’ to ‘B’, with a Positive Outlook.

The landmark Fitch Upgrade reflects Ghana’s remarkable progress in restoring macroeconomic stability, reducing public debt, and strengthening investor confidence under ongoing fiscal and structural reforms.

According to Ratings, the Fitch Upgrade was driven by a sharp decline in Ghana’s debt burden, robust economic growth, improved fiscal discipline, and the sustained appreciation of the Ghana cedi.

In a strong endorsement of Ghana’s fiscal consolidation efforts, Fitch projects that public debt will fall to 46 percent of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) by 2027, placing the country below the median debt level for nations with similar credit ratings.

The ratings agency noted that Ghana’s disciplined management of public finances and commitment to reform are helping to restore long-term sustainability and reduce vulnerabilities.

The Fitch Upgrade also reflects confidence in Ghana’s economic prospects, with the agency forecasting average GDP growth of around 5 percent annually through 2027.

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This growth is expected to be supported by rising gold exports, easing inflation, stronger consumer confidence, and improving macroeconomic conditions.

Fitch said these factors are positioning Ghana for a more resilient and diversified economic expansion.

Although inflation edged slightly to 3.4 percent in April 2026, Fitch expects price pressures to remain broadly contained despite potential risks from higher global oil prices.

The continued strength of the cedi and prudent monetary policy are expected to reinforce economic stability and support household purchasing power.

One of the most significant indicators cited by Fitch was the dramatic increase in Ghana’s gross international reserves, which rose by $5.4 billion in 2025 to reach $12.3 billion.

The build-up in reserves has significantly reduced external financing risks and enhanced Ghana’s capacity to withstand global economic shocks.

The Positive Outlook indicates Fitch’s expectation that the government will maintain prudent fiscal policies, deepen reforms in public financial management, and continue efforts to stabilise the economy.

The upgrade is widely seen as a powerful endorsement of Ghana’s economic turnaround and a strong signal to investors that the country is on a sustainable path toward recovery and growth.

Despite the encouraging development, Fitch cautioned that elevated interest costs, growing debt-servicing obligations, or weaker fiscal performance could put downward pressure on Ghana’s credit rating in the future.

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