A new poll by Global InfoAnalytics has revealed a significant decline in support for the New Patriotic Party (NPP) in the Ashanti Region, a development that political analysts say could have major implications for the party’s electoral prospects.
The analysis, presented by Mussa Dankwa, compares party affiliation data from October 2024 and March 2026 and points to what he described as a “seismic shift” in the NPP’s traditional stronghold.
According to the poll, the proportion of voters in the Ashanti Region who identify with the NPP declined from 61 percent in October 2024 to 34 percent in March 2026, representing a drop of 27 percentage points.
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Nationally, support for the NPP also declined, but at a slower pace, falling from 37 percent to 25 percent, a 12-point decrease.
Mr Dankwa warned that the party is losing support in the Ashanti Region at more than twice the national rate, making the trend particularly concerning for party strategists.
On the other hand, the National Democratic Congress (NDC) recorded significant gains in the region over the same period.
Support for the NDC in the Ashanti Region rose from 17 percent in 2024 to 30 percent in 2026, an increase of 13 percentage points.
The data suggests that some former NPP supporters have shifted their allegiance to the NDC, while others have become floating voters.
Among Akan voters, traditionally viewed as a key support base for the NPP, party affiliation also changed sharply.
The poll indicates that NPP support among Akans fell from 67 percent in 2024 to 41 percent in 2026, a decline of 26 percentage points.
Meanwhile, NDC support among Akan voters increased from 14 percent to 24 percent.
Nationally, 40 percent of Akan voters now identify with the NDC, compared with 30 percent who identify with the NPP.
Mr Dankwa said the data underscores the scale of the work ahead for the NPP if it hopes to regain lost support before the next general election.
He noted that the current trend could bolster confidence within the NDC that it has a realistic opportunity to surpass the 50 percent threshold in future national contests.